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Houston Open Outright Card Write Up

  • Clayborne Taylor
  • Mar 25
  • 4 min read

Memorial Park is a par-70, 7,475-yard layout that rewards elite ball-striking, strong par-5 scoring, scrambling under windy conditions, and the ability to make birdies on a course with few “easy” holes. The stats you shared (likely recent Strokes Gained categories such as SG: Off-the-Tee, SG: Approach, SG: Around-the-Green, SG: Putting, plus Birdie Avg, Scoring Avg, and recent finishes) highlight clear strengths for each contender.



Chris Gotterup (+2450)

Gotterup enters as one of the hottest players on the PGA Tour and the highest-ranked player in the field (world No. 10 after Scottie Scheffler’s withdrawal). He has already secured two wins in 2026 (Sony Open and WM Phoenix Open), showing he can close out tournaments under pressure.

His stats paint a complete package:

  • Strong SG: Off-the-Tee (0.867) and SG: Approach (0.441) give him a major edge on a course that demands precision off the tee and dialed-in irons.

  • Excellent Birdie Average (4.167) and Scoring Average (2.25 relative) indicate he can pile up red numbers.

  • Recent finishes (T56 at PLAYERS, T18 at Arnold Palmer) show consistency even when not at his absolute peak.

Memorial Park’s wide fairways suit his length, and his recent form suggests he can handle the wind better than most. As the clear betting favorite in many models, Gotterup has the all-around game and momentum to become a multiple time winner this season right here in Houston.


Jake Knapp (+2600)

Knapp is built for Memorial Park. He posted a solid T27 (-9) here in 2025 and has shown explosive scoring ability early in 2026 (multiple top-10s, including T5 at Farmers and T8 at Pebble Beach).

Key stats that stand out:

  • Elite SG: Putting (1.023) — he ranks near the top of the Tour in putting and one-putt percentage. On a course where birdie opportunities are earned through good approaches, Knapp’s flat-stick magic can separate him.

  • Balanced SG: Off-the-Tee (0.366) and SG: Approach (0.378), plus solid scrambling (0.657).

  • Strong Birdie Avg (4.333) and low Scoring Avg (1.917 relative).

Memorial Park rewards players who get hot with the putter and capitalize on the reachable par-5s exactly Knapp’s wheelhouse. If he avoids the big misses off the tee that plagued him in some 2025 events, he’s a live contender for his first PGA Tour title.


Sahith Theegala (+8000 odds)

Theegala is a proven performer at this event with finishes of T22 (2023), T28 (2024), and T67 (2025). His game features creative shot-making and a high ceiling on scoring.

From the stats:

  • Positive SG: Approach (0.468) and SG: Around-the-Green (0.566) show he can manufacture birdies even when drives stray.

  • Solid Birdie Avg (3.583) and Scoring Avg (2.417 relative).

  • Recent form includes a T8 at American Express and T7 at Farmers — signs he’s rounding into form.

Theegala’s ability to scramble and his experience at Memorial Park (where the Houston community connection motivates him) make him dangerous. At longer odds, he offers excellent each-way value if his putter cooperates.


Taylor Pendrith (+6000)

Pendrith brings a steady, ball-striking game that fits the demands of Memorial Park’s tree-lined, strategic layout.

Highlights from his numbers:

  • Very strong SG: Off-the-Tee (0.490) and SG: Approach (0.470) — he ranks among the better drivers and iron players in the group.

  • Positive SG: Around-the-Green (0.595) for recovery.

  • Decent Birdie Avg (2.875) despite some recent missed cuts.

His course-history mix (including a T5 in a prior appearance) suggests he knows how to navigate the wind and firm conditions. If Pendrith stays out of trouble off the tee and converts his iron-play advantage, he could contend deep into the weekend.


Wyndham Clark (+5500)

Clark, a major champion, has a strong history here — including a T5 (-15) in 2025. He possesses massive length and the ability to dominate when his approach play clicks.

Stats breakdown:

  • Solid SG: Approach (0.414) and SG: Around-the-Green (0.566) show improvement in areas that hurt him earlier in 2026.

  • Good Birdie Avg (4.125).

  • Recent finishes include T5 at American Express and T42 at PLAYERS.

The wide fairways at Memorial Park should help Clark’s power game, and his past success here (gaining strokes on the greens in every start) is encouraging. If he solves his recent putting woes, Clark has the firepower for a breakthrough victory.


Tony Finau (+8000 )

Finau is a two-time Houston Open participant with a win in 2022 (16-under) and a T2 in 2024. He clearly loves Memorial Park.

His profile:

  • Strong historical SG: Off-the-Tee and SG: Approach numbers (even if recent form shows -0.400 OTT).

  • Reliable Birdie Avg (4.167) and Scoring Avg (2.75 relative).

  • Multiple top-30 finishes here across the years.

Finau’s length and experience on this layout give him an edge in navigating the par-5s and wind. At plus-money odds, he’s a proven “course horse” who knows exactly what it takes to hoist the trophy again.


Ryan Fox (+8000)


  • Positive SG: Approach (0.144) and SG: Around-the-Green (0.485).

  • Solid Birdie Avg (4.042).

  • Recent finishes include T7 and T15 in strong fields.


Gotterup and Knapp look like the most complete packages right now, but Finau’s course history, Clark’s major pedigree, Theegala’s creativity, Pendrith’s consistency, and Fox’s accuracy all provide legitimate paths to victory. Memorial Park rarely produces a runaway winner , it usually comes down to who gets the putter going on Sunday.



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